Thursday, October 8, 2009

POSB Invest SingGrowth Account

Today I was queuing up at POSB settling some stuff, then just happily flipped through their pamphlets that were within my reach.

First one, one telling people how to manage their money. Very good, very in line with what I am doing at the moment, helping pple to ensure that they are well insured and putting their money hard at work.

Second one, ah-huh, the famous 'POSB Invest SingGrowth Account' that was published quite prominently in the newspaper. I always wanted to find out more about this plan, thinking how is it possible that it can give so good interest rates. After reading, then I realized how difficult it was to achieve the kind of interest rate they were promoting.

Features:
1. Guaranteed return of full principal at maturity or upon Specified Redemption Event (unless banks totally collapsed)
2. The minimum interest over 5 yrs would be 2.78+1.08+1.18++1.28+1.38 = 7.70%. Over 5 yrs, it will work out to be 1.54%

Here comes the interesting part:
3. The Specified Redemption Event occurs when the Return of each Share is at or above 15% on a Fixing Date. What a clause??!!! Why do I say that? It simply means for the Bonus Payout to occur,

ALL 4 of the shares (Singapore Telecom, UOB, SPH, SembCorp) MUST achieve more than 15% ROR. If any one of them fails to do so, NO bonus payout!

Mathematically speaking, assuming these variables are independently related, the probability of the equation would be:
P(Share X achieveing >15% ROR) = 0.5 (to put it very optimistic)
P(ALL shares achieving >15% ROR) = 0.5 x 0.5 x 0.5 x 0.5 = 0.0625!

It would be far off to put your money in a simple short term endownment plan which generates more than 1.54%/annum. Or if you are interested to know more about instruments to make your money grow harder, contact me anytime.

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